Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 2737.007207 2958.205568 3182.081752 3425.327443 3681.852405 3944.036882 4231.947050
2025-02-02 2415.440093 2748.969942 3098.849709 3492.052165 3920.423927 4371.784601 4882.122340
2025-02-09 2169.912179 2567.886755 2996.695734 3490.635105 4041.415415 4634.277329 5318.214421
2025-02-16 1966.448469 2407.435365 2893.658844 3465.535832 4115.676610 4827.837033 5662.848098
2025-02-23 1837.783689 2317.331422 2856.678033 3502.376431 4248.435883 5077.577834 6062.751931
2025-03-02 1705.140406 2211.345719 2791.452205 3497.507949 4325.567367 5258.045893 6379.353679
2025-03-09 1620.334805 2154.814902 2777.603618 3546.658955 4460.347490 5500.960226 6765.126191
2025-03-16 1503.915648 2052.478695 2702.665125 3517.403120 4497.994392 5627.421979 7013.338395
2025-03-23 1451.593625 2025.011115 2714.472096 3589.025496 4652.919497 5889.605294 7419.570886
2025-03-30 1377.648766 1965.922315 2683.739794 3605.626264 4739.253320 6069.173222 7727.889671
2025-04-06 1303.541646 1902.456127 2643.939976 3607.815611 4805.499242 6223.033520 8004.772715
2025-04-13 1189.988527 1782.185701 2527.601665 3509.930498 4744.880774 6220.943497 8092.187607
2025-04-20 1173.731403 1790.381709 2575.705958 3620.568023 4944.814046 6538.347550 8570.383857
2025-04-27 1140.968736 1774.766555 2591.995913 3690.294667 5094.092501 6795.264977 8977.741852
2025-05-04 1081.606455 1719.945718 2554.553274 3688.816859 5152.186558 6939.273791 9247.186825
2025-05-11 1016.787072 1654.389667 2500.099513 3662.685781 5176.899426 7040.529002 9463.334792
2025-05-18 980.900614 1627.581956 2495.864215 3701.040196 5283.226903 7243.151861 9805.183524
2025-05-25 931.415708 1579.008585 2460.148731 3695.971915 5332.262544 7373.248150 10056.859768
2025-06-01 904.996977 1562.469849 2467.159070 3747.136558 5453.951285 7595.117655 10424.045816
2025-06-08 852.159360 1504.684593 2415.004707 3716.683089 5467.358499 7678.686628 10617.188521
2025-06-15 837.415619 1502.856795 2440.419543 3791.232645 5619.049574 7939.033122 11034.422046
2025-06-22 804.973100 1472.775771 2424.728028 3808.509582 5694.252535 8101.283320 11327.905928
2025-06-29 769.620962 1436.632953 2399.022266 3810.788040 5748.627239 8236.348960 11586.993004